Polymarket · Energy

Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Energy expectations are falling at 0.8% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 0.8%. 24h move -19.8 pts. 7d move -19.8 pts. Data quality 43/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.8%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 55
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 965 Liquidity 20.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.7
Momentum75.3
Urgency44.1
7d Move-19.8 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 0.8%. 24h move -19.8 pts. 7d move -19.8 pts. Data quality 43/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 37.5% · Probability Surge · score 70 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? 11.4% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? 89.0% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? 18.0% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup? 10.0% · Probability Fade · score 56