Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.6% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 60/100.
Probability
0.7%
Signal
Watch
Score
30
Freshness
43s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 860.4K
Liquidity 40.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality60.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 60/100.
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