Polymarket · Geopolitics
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 98.8% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 98.8%. 24h move +3.8 pts. 7d move +3.8 pts. Data quality 55/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
98.8%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
36
Freshness
12s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 99.5K
Liquidity 36.7K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality54.9
Momentum21.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.8 pts
Geopolitics expectation is rising at 98.8%. 24h move +3.8 pts. 7d move +3.8 pts. Data quality 55/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme