Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Nicaragua?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 25.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 25.0%. 24h move -23.5 pts. 7d move -23.5 pts. Data quality 31/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 25.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 48
Freshness 25s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90 Liquidity 1.3K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.1
Momentum90.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move-23.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 25.0%. 24h move -23.5 pts. 7d move -23.5 pts. Data quality 31/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 38.0% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? 5.0% · Probability Fade · score 62 Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat? 25.8% · Probability Surge · score 60 Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Nicaragua? 38.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? 29.5% · Probability Fade · score 51 Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? 92.8% · Probability Surge · score 50