Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 84.9% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 84.9%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 84.9%
Signal High Conviction
Score 22
Freshness 39s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 751 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 84.9%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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