Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 39.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 39.5%. 24h move +3.5 pts. 7d move +3.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 39.5%
Signal Watch
Score 36
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 980 Liquidity 400 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality33.8
Momentum45.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 39.5%. 24h move +3.5 pts. 7d move +3.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

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