Polymarket · Energy

Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Energy expectations are falling at 22.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 22.5%. 24h move -2.5 pts. 7d move -2.5 pts. Data quality 39/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 22.5%
Signal Watch
Score 30
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 939 Liquidity 4.3K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality39.2
Momentum14.5
Urgency38.2
7d Move-2.5 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 22.5%. 24h move -2.5 pts. 7d move -2.5 pts. Data quality 39/100.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 45.0% · Thin Market · score 53 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.3% · Watch · score 36 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? 12.2% · Watch · score 36 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 35 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 35