Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Trump say "Scam" during Wisconsin events?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 4.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 4.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 29/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.5%
Signal Watch
Score 32
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 958 Liquidity 44 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.3
Momentum2.9
Urgency95.0
7d Move0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 4.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 29/100.

Same theme
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 38.0% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat? 25.8% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? 5.0% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? 75.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Miami Heretics finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? 4.5% · Probability Fade · score 48 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 47