Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 19.5% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 19.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 24/100.
Probability
19.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
15
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 97
Liquidity 67
Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality24.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 19.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 24/100.
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