Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 78.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 78.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
78.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
32
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.7K
Liquidity 5.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.0
Momentum11.8
Urgency41.2
7d Move1.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 78.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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