Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Exact Score: Bahrain 1 - 1 Syria?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 0.2% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 0.2%. 24h move -5.4 pts. 7d move -5.4 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.2%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 50
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97 Liquidity 2.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality32.3
Momentum56.0
Urgency78.2
7d Move-5.4 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 0.2%. 24h move -5.4 pts. 7d move -5.4 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election? 30.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? 47.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? 55.0% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? 17.5% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will Starmer say "European Union" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? 35.0% · Probability Surge · score 52 Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? 43.0% · Probability Surge · score 49