Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 83.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 83.5%. 24h move -1.5 pts. 7d move -1.5 pts. Data quality 31/100.
Probability
83.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
28
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 99
Liquidity 1.1K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality30.9
Momentum17.7
Urgency42.3
7d Move-1.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 83.5%. 24h move -1.5 pts. 7d move -1.5 pts. Data quality 31/100.
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