Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 12.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 12.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -52.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
12.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
54
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.1K
Liquidity 1.1K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality41.4
Momentum68.0
Urgency53.5
7d Move-52.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 12.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -52.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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