Polymarket · Geopolitics

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 12.5% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 12.0%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 12.5%
Signal Watch
Score 35
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97.6K Liquidity 39.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality54.8
Momentum17.7
Urgency25.0
7d Move1.5 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 12.0%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.

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