Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 35.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 35.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 35.0%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 10.0K Liquidity 17.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.9
Momentum3.0
Urgency49.9
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 35.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

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