Polymarket · Geopolitics

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 30.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 30.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 30.0%
Signal Watch
Score 13
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 88 Liquidity 537 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 30.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

Same theme
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5) 10.3% · Probability Fade · score 64 Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score 52.0% · Thin Market · score 64 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? 13.0% · Probability Fade · score 41 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? 5.9% · Watch · score 41 Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-09? 2.1% · Watch · score 39 Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? 28.0% · Watch · score 38