Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-09?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 5.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 5.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 5.0%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 89 Liquidity 441 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality28.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency77.5
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 5.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

Same theme
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? 36.5% · Probability Fade · score 63 Exact Score: Denmark 2 - 0 Ukraine? 0.1% · Probability Fade · score 41 Spread: Ukraine (-2.5) 50.0% · Probability Surge · score 40 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 2.2% · Watch · score 40 Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? 29.0% · Watch · score 39 Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? 54.5% · Probability Surge · score 36