Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 87.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 87.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 29
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 906 Liquidity 9.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.0
Momentum8.8
Urgency43.1
7d Move-1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
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