Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 32.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 32.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 32.5%
Signal Watch
Score 24
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 980 Liquidity 813 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality35.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency43.6
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 32.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

Same theme
Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 0 Germany? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 30.0% · Probability Fade · score 62 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? 28.9% · Probability Surge · score 59 Exact Score: Kyrgyz Republic 2 - 3 Palestine? 49.0% · Thin Market · score 54 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 1.6% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? 80.5% · Probability Surge · score 52