Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 91.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 91.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 91.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 35
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.8K Liquidity 16.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency73.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 91.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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