Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 2.9% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 2.9%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 50/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 2.9%
Signal Watch
Score 34
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97.0K Liquidity 3.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.6
Momentum11.8
Urgency41.4
7d Move1.1 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 2.9%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 50/100.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50