Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 5.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 5.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 5.1%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96 Liquidity 7.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality35.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 5.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

Same theme
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? 43.0% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May? 42.5% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 42.5% · Watch · score 41 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 0.4% · Watch · score 41 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May? 2.5% · Watch · score 33 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? 0.8% · Watch · score 33