Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 93.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 93.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.6K Liquidity 13.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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