Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 93.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 93.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 958 Liquidity 6.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.1
Momentum0.0
Urgency40.8
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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