Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 80.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 80.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
80.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
24
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.6K
Liquidity 7.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 80.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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