Polymarket · Weather & Climate
Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?
Weather & Climate expectations are falling at 4.8% on a moderate-quality market. Weather & Climate expectation is falling at 4.8%. 24h move -14.8 pts. 7d move -14.8 pts. Data quality 37/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
4.8%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
56
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 888
Liquidity 1.8K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality37.1
Momentum78.5
Urgency53.4
7d Move-14.8 pts
Weather & Climate expectation is falling at 4.8%. 24h move -14.8 pts. 7d move -14.8 pts. Data quality 37/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme