Weather and climate risk

▼ Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July? Polymarket · Probability Fade Prob4.7% Quality36 Score54Source

Weather & Climate expectation is falling at 4.6%. 24h move -17.4 pts. 7d move -18.2 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

→ Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm Polymarket · High Conviction Prob79.5% Quality46 Score35Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 79.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

▲ Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5) Polymarket · Watch Prob48.5% Quality40 Score35Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 48.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

→ Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5 Polymarket · High Conviction Prob99.7% Quality58 Score25Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 99.7%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 58/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

→ yes Byron Buxton: 1+,yes Tanner Bibee: 2+,yes Joe Ryan: 4+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+,yes Braxton Ashcraft: 4+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Ryan Weathers: 6+,yes Braxton Ashcraft: 6+,yes Over 8.5 runs scored Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes New York Y,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Cleveland,no Tanner Bibee: 8+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Cody Bellinger: 1+,yes Ryan Weathers: 6+,yes Braxton Ashcraft: 6+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Cleveland,yes Tanner Bibee: 2+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Byron Buxton: 1+,yes Ben Rice: 1+,yes Tanner Bibee: 2+,yes Joe Ryan: 4+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+,yes Braxton Ashcraft: 4+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Byron Buxton: 1+,yes Tanner Bibee: 2+,yes Joe Ryan: 4+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Ryan Weathers: 6+,yes Braxton Ashcraft: 6+,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

→ yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Tanner Bibee: 2+,no Joe Ryan: 4+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+,no Braxton Ashcraft: 4+,no Nick Martinez: 3+ Kalshi · Thin Market Prob0.0% Quality8 Score18Source

Weather & Climate expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 8/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.