Polymarket · Weather & Climate
Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?
Weather & Climate expectations are falling at 4.6% on a moderate-quality market. Weather & Climate expectation is falling at 4.6%. 24h move -4.8 pts. 7d move -18.2 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
4.7%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
44
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 935
Liquidity 851
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality35.6
Momentum49.2
Urgency53.0
7d Move-18.3 pts
Weather & Climate expectation is falling at 4.6%. 24h move -4.8 pts. 7d move -18.2 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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