- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
WB
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Weibo Corp · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Latest close
8.15 USD
5.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.4%, after a 10.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
8.15 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.8%
15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.7%.
Indicator stack
16/53
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
47/100 conviction; expected move 15.4%.
News sentiment
50/100
50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.4%, after a 10.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.7% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -8.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change37.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value98/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 5.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 24.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 74.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 32.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 31.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 5.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 7.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
WB shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 15.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction47/100
Expected move15.4%
Put/call volume0.06
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.
6 positive · 38 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-11.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+5.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank13 / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Internet Content & Information
4-week rank7 / 66
Group average-6.5%
Trend breadth28.8%
Trend28.8%active weekly trend signals
MD51.5%positive activity pressure
RS22.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors72/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 86; Buyback Yield rank 61; Small Cap Core rank 3 SVQF96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 27.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options34/100WB shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 15.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.4% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.
Weibo (WB) Stock Stays Cheap On Its 80% Five Year Slide Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.15 USD | 5.4% | 8.49 USD | 8.40 USD | -0.19 | -20.19 | 3.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.73 USD | -0.3% | 8.55 USD | 8.42 USD | -0.54 | -24.31 | 3.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.75 USD | 0.4% | 8.61 USD | 8.45 USD | -0.57 | -25.86 | 4.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.72 USD | 4.9% | 8.67 USD | 8.46 USD | -0.74 | -29.75 | 3.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.36 USD | 2.2% | 8.73 USD | 8.48 USD | -0.78 | -32.32 | 5.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.20 USD | -1.8% | 8.81 USD | 8.50 USD | -0.79 | -33.70 | 6.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.33 USD | -4.1% | 8.88 USD | 8.52 USD | -0.77 | -36.05 | 7.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7.64 USD | -0.8% | 8.93 USD | 8.54 USD | -0.68 | -32.14 | 6.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.70 USD | -2.0% | 8.99 USD | 8.56 USD | -0.65 | -30.58 | 6.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.86 USD | -1.9% | 9.06 USD | 8.58 USD | -0.65 | -32.84 | 7.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.01 USD | -1.4% | 9.14 USD | 8.60 USD | -0.78 | -30.06 | 6.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.12 USD | -4.4% | 9.23 USD | 8.62 USD | -0.88 | -28.76 | 8.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 8.49 USD | 1.6% | 9.30 USD | 8.64 USD | -0.87 | -26.10 | 4.6M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 8.36 USD | -0.6% | 9.38 USD | 8.66 USD | -0.95 | -23.64 | 3.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.