OCDO LSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ocado Group plc · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Latest close 186.9 GBP
13.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.1%, after a 3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 186.9 GBP 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 13.1% latest completed week
4W Return 3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.1%, after a 3.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.6% over four weeks, -4.6% over 12 weeks, and -46.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.1%
4W3.6%
12W-4.6%
26W-24.1%
52W-46.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-104.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Nov 2025 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 61%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
3.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-15.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-2.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

5 positive · 26 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-11.4%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week+13.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026186.9 GBP13.1%206.3 GBP355.6 GBP-0.01-24.3929.3MOff
17 Jul 2026165.2 GBP-6.5%208.1 GBP360.7 GBP0.03-33.4652.3MOff
10 Jul 2026176.6 GBP-3.9%210.9 GBP364.0 GBP0.05-29.2817.0MOff
3 Jul 2026183.7 GBP1.8%212.5 GBP366.7 GBP0.15-28.2312.9MOff
26 Jun 2026180.4 GBP-0.2%212.6 GBP369.3 GBP0.19-28.9622.6MOff
19 Jun 2026180.8 GBP-8.5%212.7 GBP371.8 GBP0.29-28.325.7MOff
12 Jun 2026197.7 GBP-1.1%212.8 GBP374.1 GBP0.34-22.981.9MOff
5 Jun 2026199.9 GBP-10.4%213.8 GBP375.8 GBP0.10-21.961.8MOff
29 May 2026223.0 GBP8.8%213.7 GBP377.0 GBP-0.06-13.9315.0MOff
22 May 2026205.0 GBP9.7%213.5 GBP377.8 GBP-0.23-21.8312.1MOff
15 May 2026186.9 GBP-5.2%214.9 GBP379.1 GBP-0.30-27.4210.4MOff
8 May 2026197.2 GBP0.6%216.7 GBP380.5 GBP-0.18-24.459.0MOff
1 May 2026195.9 GBP-7.0%218.0 GBP382.0 GBP-0.23-26.5139.4MOff
24 Apr 2026210.6 GBP3.3%219.2 GBP384.0 GBP-0.47-21.8922.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.