- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
TDS
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Telephone and Data Systems Inc · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
34.37 USD
0.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -10.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 9d.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
34.37 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-24.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.6%.
Indicator stack
47/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
49/100 conviction; expected move 10.1%.
News sentiment
51/100
46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
9d
Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -10.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2112-week average 0.59
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.6% over four weeks, -24.4% over 12 weeks, and 6.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-28.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-400.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum34/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework64/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 29.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 18.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 41.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 20.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 43.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -56.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -50.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
TDS shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 10.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move10.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity10 / 10
10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
8 positive · 33 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings9dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank90 / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth42.0%
Trend42.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Telecom Services
4-week rank44 / 55
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth30.9%
Trend30.9%active weekly trend signals
MD21.8%positive activity pressure
RS25.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.21; 2 reversal markers Factors69/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 19; Small Cap Core rank 21 SVQF64/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 360.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options35/100TDS shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 10.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.1% Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
Telephone and Data Systems Inc (TDS) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders10 / 1010 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings9dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 34.37 USD | 0.1% | 41.16 USD | 25.80 USD | -1.22 | -13.95 | 4.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 34.32 USD | 0.5% | 41.10 USD | 25.62 USD | -1.07 | -14.73 | 5.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 34.14 USD | -5.7% | 41.00 USD | 25.44 USD | -0.99 | -16.52 | 5.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 36.19 USD | -5.9% | 40.90 USD | 25.26 USD | -0.96 | -10.51 | 6.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 38.45 USD | -2.9% | 40.75 USD | 25.07 USD | -0.95 | -2.79 | 5.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 39.59 USD | -1.3% | 40.56 USD | 24.86 USD | -0.96 | -2.03 | 5.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 40.11 USD | 2.5% | 40.27 USD | 24.65 USD | -0.94 | 0.44 | 4.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 39.12 USD | 0.1% | 39.96 USD | 24.43 USD | -0.78 | -1.17 | 5.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 39.07 USD | -0.5% | 39.68 USD | 24.21 USD | -0.60 | -3.59 | 5.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 39.26 USD | -3.0% | 39.42 USD | 23.99 USD | -0.50 | -1.57 | 6.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 40.46 USD | -12.8% | 39.16 USD | 23.78 USD | -0.41 | 2.52 | 6.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 46.42 USD | 2.2% | 38.85 USD | 23.55 USD | -0.32 | 18.17 | 4.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 45.43 USD | 0.6% | 38.34 USD | 23.29 USD | -0.25 | 18.93 | 4.0M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 45.16 USD | -1.3% | 37.89 USD | 23.04 USD | -0.09 | 19.93 | 2.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.