FFIN NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

First Financial Bankshares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 34.68 USD
-1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a -1.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 32/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 34.68 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.8% latest completed week
4W Return -1.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.90% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a -1.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.33

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.6% over four weeks, 7.2% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.8%
4W-1.6%
12W7.2%
26W7.3%
52W-2.5%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-17.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change69.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth32/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
38.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
38.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
9.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

FFIN shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction32/100
Expected move9.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure8
Speculation0
Volatility63
Trend agreement84
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 2

16 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

29 positive · 33 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202634.68 USD-1.8%32.07 USD31.80 USD1.21-1.614.0MOn
17 Jul 202635.32 USD2.2%31.93 USD31.77 USD1.36-1.854.6MOn
10 Jul 202634.56 USD-0.9%31.77 USD31.72 USD1.40-8.443.6MOn
3 Jul 202634.88 USD-1.0%31.65 USD31.68 USD1.46-6.524.1MOn
26 Jun 202635.24 USD7.5%31.51 USD31.62 USD1.48-5.358.5MOn
19 Jun 202632.78 USD-2.6%31.35 USD31.57 USD1.22-16.375.0MOn
12 Jun 202633.65 USD4.3%31.29 USD31.52 USD0.93-12.514.3MOn
5 Jun 202632.27 USD-0.6%31.18 USD31.48 USD0.55-14.754.9MOn
29 May 202632.47 USD1.4%31.13 USD31.45 USD0.27-18.713.1MOn
22 May 202632.03 USD3.7%31.06 USD31.41 USD0.20-18.133.2MOn
15 May 202630.90 USD-3.6%31.01 USD31.36 USD0.12-20.653.9MOn
8 May 202632.05 USD-0.9%31.01 USD31.32 USD0.15-18.633.5MOn
1 May 202632.35 USD1.9%30.99 USD31.27 USD0.01-14.073.7MOff
24 Apr 202631.75 USD-1.6%31.01 USD31.23 USD-0.21-14.973.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.