AVG NSI Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AVG Logistics Limited · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

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Latest close 203.6 INR
1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 10.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 203.6 INR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 10.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.18% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.7%. Indicator stack 23/79 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.18% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 10.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4212-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.7% over four weeks, 23.5% over 12 weeks, and -24.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.0%
4W10.7%
12W23.5%
26W46.3%
52W-24.4%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1743.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-4.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
87.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-4.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
22.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

2 positive · 18 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-14.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.6% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis54/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.42; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.18%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.18% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors65/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 57; Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 8 SVQF61/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 615.0 of 1590 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

AVG Logistics rectifies XBRL discrepancy in Q4FY26 results Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026203.6 INR1.0%164.7 INR316.8 INR1.5013.9566.0KOn
17 Jul 2026201.6 INR-3.9%163.8 INR317.2 INR1.589.63105.3KOn
10 Jul 2026209.8 INR-6.4%163.6 INR317.6 INR1.6013.68182.3KOn
3 Jul 2026224.2 INR21.9%162.1 INR318.0 INR1.6020.381.7MOn
26 Jun 2026184.0 INR1.0%160.1 INR318.3 INR1.21-0.85637.1KOn
19 Jun 2026182.1 INR2.1%160.6 INR318.7 INR0.99-2.63105.3KOff
12 Jun 2026178.4 INR17.6%161.1 INR319.3 INR0.90-3.91377.4KOff
5 Jun 2026151.7 INR-2.4%162.1 INR319.8 INR0.67-18.236.7KOff
29 May 2026155.4 INR-1.9%164.2 INR320.2 INR0.85-17.7695.1KOff
22 May 2026158.4 INR3.1%166.3 INR320.6 INR0.92-17.72344.7KOff
15 May 2026153.7 INR-11.8%168.6 INR321.0 INR0.90-20.92108.4KOff
8 May 2026174.3 INR5.7%170.8 INR321.4 INR0.98-13.30112.1KOff
1 May 2026164.8 INR0.2%172.9 INR321.5 INR0.97-17.8563.3KOff
24 Apr 2026164.5 INR-0.6%174.9 INR321.6 INR0.82-18.22140.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.