- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.59% based on similar historical setup states.
SR
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Spire Inc · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Latest close
79.86 USD
-4.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a 0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
79.86 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.2%.
Indicator stack
44/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.59%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
33/100 conviction; expected move 5.2%.
News sentiment
56/100
53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a 0.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.46
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.2% over four weeks, -5.8% over 12 weeks, and 12.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum36/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Growth86/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 13.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 39.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 23.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 56.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 42.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -17.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 8.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
SR shows bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction33/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume0.25
Insider activity4 / 1
4 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
17 positive · 34 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-5.4%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-4.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Utilities
4-week rank29 / 100
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS14.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Utilities - Regulated Gas
4-week rank9 / 16
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth31.3%
Trend31.2%active weekly trend signals
MD37.5%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.59%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.59% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 27 SVQF23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 777.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options38/100SR shows bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.2% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
Spire (SR) Declares Quarterly Dividend, Is The Stock Cheap? Insiders4 / 14 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 79.86 USD | -4.1% | 85.15 USD | 67.98 USD | -0.87 | -11.50 | 2.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 83.28 USD | 2.3% | 85.21 USD | 67.81 USD | -0.86 | -6.83 | 1.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 81.41 USD | 0.8% | 85.15 USD | 67.63 USD | -0.83 | -9.51 | 1.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 80.73 USD | 1.3% | 85.13 USD | 67.47 USD | -0.83 | -11.75 | 2.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 79.68 USD | -1.5% | 85.16 USD | 67.31 USD | -0.84 | -11.84 | 3.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 80.86 USD | 4.9% | 85.17 USD | 67.15 USD | -0.88 | -8.71 | 5.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 77.05 USD | -2.6% | 85.35 USD | 66.99 USD | -1.09 | -15.13 | 2.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 79.10 USD | -3.0% | 85.57 USD | 66.84 USD | -1.07 | -12.29 | 3.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 81.52 USD | 0.1% | 85.74 USD | 66.69 USD | -1.09 | -9.25 | 2.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 81.40 USD | -5.4% | 85.93 USD | 66.54 USD | -0.98 | -11.76 | 1.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 86.08 USD | 1.8% | 86.01 USD | 66.38 USD | -0.69 | -5.55 | 1.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 84.53 USD | -0.3% | 86.02 USD | 66.20 USD | -0.43 | -6.56 | 2.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 84.80 USD | -5.2% | 85.96 USD | 66.03 USD | 0.03 | -6.13 | 2.9M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 89.46 USD | -0.5% | 85.80 USD | 65.87 USD | 0.37 | 1.16 | 1.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.