HKG Equity Snapshot

1503 Weekly Equity Report

China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust

Latest Close 1.08 HKD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -1.8% latest completed week
4W Return -4.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust is a Hong Kong collective investment scheme authorized under section 104 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance. (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) and its units are listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited. China Merchants Commercial REIT is governed by the deed of trust dated 15 November 2019, as amended from time to time (the Trust Deed), entered into between China Merchants Land Assets Management Co., Limited (the Manager) and DB Trustees (Hong Kong) Limited (the Trustee), and the …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

1503 closed the latest completed week at 1.08 HKD. The 4-week return is -4.4% and the 12-week return is -5.9%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.45. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 35/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -8.0%
Volume 0.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 30 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 34 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 23 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 34 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 32 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 54 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1.17 HKD
Vs Trend Line
-8.0%
Fair Value
1.11 HKD
Vs Fair Value
-2.5%
52W High
1.31 HKD
52W Low
1.07 HKD
Drawdown
-17.8%
Range Position
4.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -1.8%
4W -4.4%
12W -5.9%
26W -10.5%
52W -4.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
28
52W Active Breadth
53.8%
Sector Scope
HK Real Estate
Sector Rank
134 of 249
Sector Percentile
46.4%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.45
4W MD Change
-12.5%
Relative Strength
-5.73
4W RS Change
12.6%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
37.99%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.9M
13W Average
2.5M
52W Average
2.1M
Vs 13W
0.8x
Vs 52W
0.9x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
1.6%
52W Volatility
1.7%
Upside Weeks
19
Downside Weeks
19
Downside Breadth
36.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
1.5% / -1.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
HKG
Country
HK
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Reit - Office
Currency
HKD
Market Cap
1.3B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1.08 HKD -1.8% 1.17 HKD 1.11 HKD -1.45 -5.73 1.9M Off
5 Jun 2026 1.10 HKD 0.0% 1.18 HKD 1.11 HKD -1.35 -5.06 2.0M Off
29 May 2026 1.10 HKD -0.9% 1.18 HKD 1.11 HKD -1.31 -5.98 1.1M Off
22 May 2026 1.11 HKD -1.8% 1.19 HKD 1.12 HKD -1.30 -6.83 1.1M Off
15 May 2026 1.13 HKD 0.0% 1.19 HKD 1.12 HKD -1.28 -6.56 1.9M Off
8 May 2026 1.13 HKD 0.9% 1.19 HKD 1.12 HKD -1.27 -8.19 2.1M Off
1 May 2026 1.12 HKD -0.9% 1.20 HKD 1.12 HKD -1.32 -6.98 1.9M Off
24 Apr 2026 1.13 HKD 0.0% 1.20 HKD 1.13 HKD -1.30 -7.07 2.2M Off
17 Apr 2026 1.13 HKD 0.0% 1.20 HKD 1.13 HKD -1.27 -7.92 3.2M Off
10 Apr 2026 1.13 HKD 0.0% 1.21 HKD 1.13 HKD -1.11 -7.19 2.4M Off
3 Apr 2026 1.13 HKD 0.1% 1.21 HKD 1.13 HKD -0.64 -4.57 3.3M Off
27 Mar 2026 1.13 HKD -1.7% 1.22 HKD 1.14 HKD -0.04 -4.13 2.8M Off
20 Mar 2026 1.15 HKD -5.6% 1.22 HKD 1.14 HKD 0.55 -3.80 6.3M Off
13 Mar 2026 1.22 HKD -3.1% 1.23 HKD 1.14 HKD 0.52 1.07 4.4M Off