- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ARF
ASX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Arena REIT · Real Estate · Reit - Specialty
Latest close
3.19 AUD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
43
out of 100
Latest Close
3.19 AUD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
25.0%
13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.6%.
Indicator stack
14/60
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2212-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.6% over four weeks, -2.7% over 12 weeks, and -9.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change115.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 45%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 15.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 11.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 99.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 91.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 68.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 11.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 26.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 18.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 6.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -11.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -5.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
6 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-3.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains10
Flat weeks2
Modest losses13
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Real Estate
4-week rank31 / 53
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth28.3%
Trend28.3%active weekly trend signals
MD73.6%positive activity pressure
RS28.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Reit - Specialty
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape39/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.22; No reversal markers Factors41/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 83; Small Cap Core rank 89 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Arena REIT Revenue Breakdown – ASX:ARF Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.19 AUD | 0.3% | 3.31 AUD | 3.44 AUD | 0.04 | -9.70 | 5.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.18 AUD | -3.6% | 3.32 AUD | 3.44 AUD | 0.05 | -8.12 | 4.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.30 AUD | 1.9% | 3.33 AUD | 3.45 AUD | 0.06 | -5.08 | 4.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.24 AUD | 2.2% | 3.34 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.11 | -7.05 | 5.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.17 AUD | -1.3% | 3.35 AUD | 3.44 AUD | -0.25 | -9.61 | 5.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.21 AUD | 0.3% | 3.36 AUD | 3.44 AUD | -0.49 | -7.84 | 1.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.20 AUD | 0.3% | 3.36 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.63 | -9.04 | 1.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.19 AUD | 4.2% | 3.38 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.67 | -9.35 | 1.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.06 AUD | -2.8% | 3.39 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.64 | -11.51 | 3.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.15 AUD | -3.0% | 3.40 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.49 | -10.37 | 1.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.25 AUD | 0.0% | 3.42 AUD | 3.45 AUD | -0.16 | -7.08 | 3.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.25 AUD | -0.9% | 3.44 AUD | 3.45 AUD | 0.18 | -7.06 | 3.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.28 AUD | -3.0% | 3.45 AUD | 3.45 AUD | 0.44 | -7.67 | 2.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3.38 AUD | -2.9% | 3.47 AUD | 3.45 AUD | 0.48 | -5.02 | 4.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.