BWXT NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BWX Technologies Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 168.7 USD
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -11.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 39/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 168.7 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return -11.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -17.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.7%. Indicator stack 45/24 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%. News sentiment 39/100 7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -11.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1912-week average 0.44

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.7% over four weeks, -17.7% over 12 weeks, and 13.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W-11.7%
12W-17.7%
26W-17.7%
52W13.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-47.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-134.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
46.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
30.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
21.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
22.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

BWXT shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume0.17
Pressure76
Speculation41
Volatility79
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment39/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses6
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis21/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 98 SVQF18/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 833.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

BWXT shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment39/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT) Shares Fall 7.2% -- GF Value Says St Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026168.7 USD-3.3%201.0 USD130.6 USD-1.21-19.274.7MOff
24 Jul 2026174.5 USD2.0%201.4 USD129.9 USD-1.23-15.663.8MOff
17 Jul 2026171.2 USD-8.0%201.4 USD129.3 USD-0.99-17.745.7MOff
10 Jul 2026186.0 USD-2.6%201.6 USD128.6 USD-0.89-11.993.4MOff
3 Jul 2026191.1 USD-3.5%201.2 USD127.8 USD-0.82-8.213.4MOff
26 Jun 2026197.9 USD-3.6%200.7 USD127.1 USD-0.75-2.686.8MOff
19 Jun 2026205.4 USD6.2%200.1 USD126.2 USD-0.98-1.144.9MOff
12 Jun 2026193.4 USD4.0%198.9 USD125.3 USD-1.13-5.804.2MOff
5 Jun 2026185.9 USD-5.1%198.4 USD124.5 USD-0.98-8.765.8MOff
29 May 2026195.9 USD-3.5%198.6 USD123.8 USD-0.77-6.074.0MOn
22 May 2026202.9 USD-0.7%199.1 USD122.9 USD-0.41-0.973.7MOn
15 May 2026204.4 USD-0.3%199.1 USD122.0 USD0.051.105.2MOn
8 May 2026205.0 USD-5.1%199.1 USD121.1 USD0.472.276.3MOn
1 May 2026216.0 USD-3.1%198.5 USD120.2 USD0.7510.954.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.