- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ALX
ASX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Atlas Arteria Limited · Industrials · Infrastructure Operations
Latest close
5.03 AUD
-0.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
5.03 AUD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-0.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.4%.
Indicator stack
46/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.42%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -1.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8212-week average 0.47
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, 5.2% over 12 weeks, and 5.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-44.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 67%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 28.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 46.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 31.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 86.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -14.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 55.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -22.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 7.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
3 positive · 13 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank49 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth36.0%
Trend36.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS48.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Infrastructure Operations
4-week rank2 / 5
Group average-4.4%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.82; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.42%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.42% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 52 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX) Gains as Investors Eye Its Global Infrastructure Portfolio Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.03 AUD | -0.2% | 4.70 AUD | 4.57 AUD | 1.01 | 4.35 | 11.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.04 AUD | -1.0% | 4.69 AUD | 4.57 AUD | 1.17 | 7.03 | 8.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.09 AUD | 1.2% | 4.68 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.28 | 7.89 | 22.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.03 AUD | -1.4% | 4.67 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.38 | 6.65 | 71.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.10 AUD | 0.4% | 4.65 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.29 | 7.79 | 169.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.08 AUD | -0.4% | 4.64 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.30 | 8.47 | 20.2M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.10 AUD | 0.4% | 4.63 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.21 | 8.22 | 22.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.08 AUD | 0.2% | 4.61 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.18 | 8.10 | 3.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.07 AUD | 2.8% | 4.60 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.24 | 10.13 | 21.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.93 AUD | 1.4% | 4.59 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.19 | 5.84 | 6.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.86 AUD | 1.3% | 4.58 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 1.24 | 5.18 | 16.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.80 AUD | 0.4% | 4.58 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 0.65 | 4.13 | 13.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.78 AUD | -0.4% | 4.57 AUD | 4.56 AUD | 0.02 | 2.28 | 16.5M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.80 AUD | 10.9% | 4.57 AUD | 4.56 AUD | -0.56 | 2.75 | 41.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.