CWST NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Casella Waste Systems Inc · Industrials · Waste Management

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Latest close 89.71 USD
0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -8.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 89.71 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -8.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.0%. Indicator stack 5/63 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 56/100 conviction; expected move 9.7%. News sentiment 53/100 80 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -8.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4112-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.0% over four weeks, 5.0% over 12 weeks, and -12.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%
4W-8.0%
12W5.0%
26W-11.1%
52W-12.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality23/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework1/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
796.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
31.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-44.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CWST shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction56/100
Expected move9.7%
Put/call volume
Pressure-95
Speculation0
Volatility73
Trend agreement32
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 7

10 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 80 relevant articles.

18 positive · 60 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Factors11/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 93 SVQF1/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 716.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

CWST shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.7% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 80 relevant articles.

Is Waste Management (WM) Undervalued Following Strong Q2 Earnings And Lower Revenue Guidance? Insiders10 / 7

10 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202689.71 USD0.4%91.10 USD96.77 USD0.70-11.383.4MOff
24 Jul 202689.39 USD-6.6%91.39 USD96.72 USD0.79-11.864.0MOff
17 Jul 202695.70 USD-1.2%91.79 USD96.66 USD0.94-7.893.0MOff
10 Jul 202696.82 USD-0.7%91.88 USD96.61 USD0.84-11.323.3MOff
3 Jul 202697.49 USD3.3%91.95 USD96.54 USD0.68-9.862.6MOff
26 Jun 202694.35 USD8.5%91.86 USD96.48 USD0.46-12.765.8MOff
19 Jun 202686.98 USD-2.7%91.92 USD96.45 USD0.03-23.943.0MOff
12 Jun 202689.37 USD4.0%92.19 USD96.44 USD-0.15-20.782.8MOff
5 Jun 202685.90 USD4.5%92.19 USD96.43 USD-0.38-23.053.1MOff
29 May 202682.17 USD-6.0%92.26 USD96.47 USD-0.52-30.542.4MOff
22 May 202687.41 USD2.6%92.47 USD96.54 USD-0.44-25.013.1MOff
15 May 202685.18 USD-0.3%92.51 USD96.58 USD-0.54-26.953.0MOff
8 May 202685.44 USD-1.6%92.53 USD96.63 USD-0.60-27.813.6MOff
1 May 202686.83 USD8.3%92.67 USD96.69 USD-0.58-23.696.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.