GNC LSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Greencore Group plc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 247.2 GBP
13.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.3%, after a 19.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 247.2 GBP 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 13.3% latest completed week
4W Return 19.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.3%, after a 19.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.26

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 19.5% over four weeks, 0.1% over 12 weeks, and 3.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.3%
4W19.5%
12W0.1%
26W-9.6%
52W3.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change64.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change72.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework22/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
34.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
29.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
53.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

6 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-16.1%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+13.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026247.2 GBP13.3%241.9 GBP184.2 GBP-0.49-5.6721.5MOff
17 Jul 2026218.2 GBP8.2%242.5 GBP183.2 GBP-0.90-15.9012.8MOff
10 Jul 2026201.6 GBP-0.5%243.2 GBP182.3 GBP-1.12-21.868.3MOff
3 Jul 2026202.6 GBP-2.0%244.8 GBP181.6 GBP-1.23-23.2314.2MOff
26 Jun 2026206.8 GBP5.8%246.0 GBP180.8 GBP-1.37-20.8515.4MOff
19 Jun 2026195.5 GBP-4.6%247.1 GBP179.9 GBP-1.37-24.478.8MOff
12 Jun 2026205.0 GBP6.8%248.0 GBP179.1 GBP-1.31-22.042.2MOff
5 Jun 2026192.0 GBP-5.4%248.7 GBP178.3 GBP-1.25-26.602.5MOff
29 May 2026203.0 GBP-16.1%250.3 GBP177.6 GBP-1.14-23.1148.8MOff
22 May 2026242.0 GBP3.2%251.8 GBP176.8 GBP-1.15-9.238.2MOff
15 May 2026234.6 GBP-0.5%251.8 GBP175.7 GBP-1.01-9.645.2MOff
8 May 2026235.8 GBP-4.5%251.9 GBP174.8 GBP-0.87-9.4510.1MOff
1 May 2026247.0 GBP-3.3%251.4 GBP173.8 GBP-0.77-6.259.6MOn
24 Apr 2026255.4 GBP-0.8%250.7 GBP172.8 GBP-0.71-3.018.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.