HEL Equity Snapshot

UPM Weekly Equity Report

UPM-Kymmene Oyj

Latest Close 24.70 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.5% latest completed week
4W Return -1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

UPM-Kymmene Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the forest-based bioindustry worldwide. It operates through UPM Fibres, UPM Energy, UPM Adhesive Materials, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, UPM Plywood, and Other Operations segments. The company offers softwood, birch, and eucalyptus pulp for tissue, specialty papers, packaging papers, graphic papers, and board; sawn timber for joinery, packaging, furniture, planning, and construction industries; and wood-based renewable diesel and renewable naphtha for transport and petrochemical industry. It also generates electricity through hydro, thermal, and nuclear power plants; provides financial portfolio management services, as well as engages in …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

UPM closed the latest completed week at 24.70 EUR. The 4-week return is -1.4% and the 12-week return is 1.0%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.99. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 44/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -0.1%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 74 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 48 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 23 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 23 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 25 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 70 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
24.73 EUR
Vs Trend Line
-0.1%
Fair Value
25.39 EUR
Vs Fair Value
-2.7%
52W High
27.16 EUR
52W Low
20.44 EUR
Drawdown
-9.1%
Range Position
63.4%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.5%
4W -1.4%
12W 1.0%
26W 6.9%
52W 13.9%

Trend read

Active Streak
27 weeks
52W Active Weeks
27
52W Active Breadth
51.9%
Sector Scope
FI Basic Materials
Sector Rank
10 of 14
Sector Percentile
30.8%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

FI Paper & Paper Products

Tracked Peers
1
4W Rank
1 of 1
Avg 1W
-2.5%
Avg 4W
-1.4%
Trend Breadth
100.0%
Positive RS
0.0%
Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.99
4W MD Change
-113.3%
Relative Strength
-8.75
4W RS Change
-10.7%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
53.30%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
2.6M
13W Average
4.5M
52W Average
5.3M
Vs 13W
0.6x
Vs 52W
0.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.5%
52W Volatility
3.7%
Upside Weeks
27
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.0% / -2.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
HEL
Country
FI
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Paper & Paper Products
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
13.2B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 27-week active streak.

Risk signals

  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 24.70 EUR -2.5% 24.73 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.99 -8.75 2.6M On
5 Jun 2026 25.33 EUR 0.5% 24.69 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.95 -8.63 1.8M On
29 May 2026 25.21 EUR 0.2% 24.58 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.81 -9.33 2.8M On
22 May 2026 25.17 EUR 0.5% 24.49 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.60 -10.16 4.3M On
15 May 2026 25.05 EUR -1.1% 24.40 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.46 -7.91 3.1M On
8 May 2026 25.33 EUR -0.5% 24.26 EUR 25.39 EUR -0.05 -6.80 4.7M On
1 May 2026 25.47 EUR 1.7% 24.10 EUR 25.38 EUR 0.22 -7.90 5.4M On
24 Apr 2026 25.04 EUR -5.4% 23.99 EUR 25.38 EUR 0.35 -8.34 5.1M On
17 Apr 2026 26.48 EUR -0.6% 23.89 EUR 25.38 EUR 0.53 -4.46 5.8M On
10 Apr 2026 26.65 EUR 2.6% 23.72 EUR 25.37 EUR 0.52 -2.68 5.2M On
3 Apr 2026 25.96 EUR 3.2% 23.56 EUR 25.36 EUR 0.58 -2.13 3.7M On
27 Mar 2026 25.17 EUR 2.9% 23.44 EUR 25.36 EUR 0.87 -1.92 5.0M On
20 Mar 2026 24.47 EUR -3.8% 23.36 EUR 25.36 EUR 1.19 -6.19 8.2M On
13 Mar 2026 25.44 EUR -0.9% 23.34 EUR 25.37 EUR 1.38 -5.14 6.2M On