MOG-B NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Moog Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 399.5 USD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -5.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 399.5 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return -5.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 53-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.53% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.7%. Indicator stack 100/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.53% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -5.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.7% over four weeks, 23.9% over 12 weeks, and 98.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 53 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W-5.7%
12W23.9%
26W35.7%
52W98.6%
Active trend streak53 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-62.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-32.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength36/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework22/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
44.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
37.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
100.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

2 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.53%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.53% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 37; Small Cap Core rank 96 SVQF22/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 795.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) Shares Down 11.3% - Should You Sell? Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026399.5 USD-1.0%341.3 USD205.6 USD0.4428.86575On
24 Jul 2026403.3 USD1.9%336.1 USD203.7 USD0.6232.80678On
17 Jul 2026395.7 USD-3.8%331.0 USD201.8 USD0.8330.931.1KOn
10 Jul 2026411.2 USD-3.0%326.0 USD199.9 USD1.1635.241.5KOn
3 Jul 2026423.8 USD-0.1%320.5 USD198.0 USD1.1642.99898On
26 Jun 2026424.2 USD-1.5%314.3 USD195.9 USD0.7848.241.7KOn
19 Jun 2026430.5 USD7.8%307.5 USD193.9 USD0.5049.004.8KOn
12 Jun 2026399.5 USD24.8%300.3 USD191.8 USD-0.1141.492.0KOn
5 Jun 2026320.2 USD-11.0%294.1 USD189.9 USD-0.5415.391.6KOn
29 May 2026360.0 USD12.1%290.6 USD188.5 USD-0.5527.282.0KOn
22 May 2026321.0 USD2.8%285.4 USD186.8 USD-0.7416.11890On
15 May 2026312.3 USD-3.2%281.6 USD185.4 USD-0.5714.75691On
8 May 2026322.5 USD7.0%278.2 USD184.0 USD-0.3519.601.3KOn
1 May 2026301.4 USD-6.3%274.3 USD182.5 USD-0.3215.222.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.