EARN NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ellington Residential Mortgage · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 4.32 USD
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 16d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 4.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.16% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%. Indicator stack 58/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.16% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 35/100 conviction; expected move 20.1%. News sentiment 56/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 16d Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.50

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

4 accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, -9.3% over 12 weeks, and -0.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W0.9%
12W-9.3%
26W-5.4%
52W-0.3%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-117.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change21.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value39/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum39/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
164.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
85.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-19.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1270.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
21.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
21.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-19.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

EARN shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 20.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction35/100
Expected move20.1%
Put/call volume
Pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement81
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

14 positive · 12 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move20.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.5%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses14
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape48/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis59/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.57; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.16%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.16% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 53; Small Cap Core rank 61 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

EARN shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 20.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 20.1% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

Acadian Asset Management (NYSE:AAMI) Reaches New 52-Week High After Earnings Beat Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings16d

Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.32 USD0.0%4.32 USD4.21 USD-0.07-7.772.7MOn
24 Jul 20264.32 USD-0.5%4.32 USD4.21 USD-0.01-7.122.1MOn
17 Jul 20264.34 USD-0.2%4.32 USD4.21 USD0.12-7.601.6MOn
10 Jul 20264.35 USD1.6%4.32 USD4.21 USD0.26-9.221.5MOn
3 Jul 20264.28 USD-3.5%4.31 USD4.21 USD0.41-9.852.1MOn
26 Jun 20264.44 USD2.9%4.31 USD4.20 USD0.48-4.921.7MOn
19 Jun 20264.31 USD-4.8%4.31 USD4.20 USD0.62-10.051.8MOn
12 Jun 20264.53 USD-1.1%4.31 USD4.20 USD0.75-5.091.2MOn
5 Jun 20264.58 USD-1.7%4.30 USD4.19 USD0.81-3.841.8MOn
29 May 20264.66 USD0.2%4.29 USD4.19 USD0.83-4.892.5MOn
22 May 20264.65 USD-0.2%4.27 USD4.19 USD0.75-4.002.3MOff
15 May 20264.66 USD-2.2%4.25 USD4.18 USD0.37-3.221.5MOff
8 May 20264.76 USD3.1%4.23 USD4.17 USD0.01-1.051.9MOff
1 May 20264.62 USD14.5%4.21 USD4.17 USD-0.40-1.982.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.