MG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mistras Group Inc · Industrials · Security & Protection Services

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Latest close 15.21 USD
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 62.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -8.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 15.21 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -8.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.17% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.9%. Indicator stack 44/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.17% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 45/100 conviction; expected move 11.8%. News sentiment 59/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 62.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -8.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.9% over four weeks, -13.8% over 12 weeks, and 94.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W-8.9%
12W-13.8%
26W7.6%
52W94.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-638.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-87.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value66/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Quality19/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
51.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-22.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MG shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 11.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction45/100
Expected move11.8%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure88
Speculation0
Volatility82
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 3

6 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

15 positive · 30 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis68/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.65; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.17%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.17% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 65; Small Cap Core rank 64 SVQF61/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 394.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options33/100

MG shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 11.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.8% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

Mistras Group Inc (MG) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders6 / 3

6 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.21 USD-1.6%16.13 USD10.29 USD-1.421.99701.0KOff
24 Jul 202615.46 USD-1.6%16.05 USD10.23 USD-1.215.57816.8KOn
17 Jul 202615.71 USD-3.4%15.98 USD10.18 USD-0.627.47868.9KOn
10 Jul 202616.27 USD-2.5%15.88 USD10.13 USD-0.1410.48771.4KOn
3 Jul 202616.69 USD-11.3%15.75 USD10.07 USD0.2615.841.2MOn
26 Jun 202618.82 USD2.0%15.58 USD10.02 USD0.4534.691.8MOn
19 Jun 202618.46 USD-1.0%15.35 USD9.95 USD0.2230.66850.4KOn
12 Jun 202618.65 USD5.9%15.12 USD9.87 USD0.1134.85662.9KOn
5 Jun 202617.61 USD0.2%14.92 USD9.80 USD0.1629.68942.0KOn
29 May 202617.58 USD1.7%14.73 USD9.74 USD0.4027.68728.8KOn
22 May 202617.28 USD1.6%14.46 USD9.67 USD0.8128.73747.3KOn
15 May 202617.00 USD-3.6%14.22 USD9.60 USD1.1929.161.1MOn
8 May 202617.64 USD-8.5%13.97 USD9.54 USD1.3335.701.1MOn
1 May 202619.28 USD2.0%13.70 USD9.47 USD1.2753.46751.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.