PEPG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PepGen Ltd · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Latest close 1.76 USD
-8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 45/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 1.76 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.8% latest completed week
4W Return 0.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a 0.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, 0.0% over 12 weeks, and 33.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.8%
4W0.0%
12W0.0%
26W-65.7%
52W33.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change183.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-55.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value47/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality46/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Momentum47/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-71.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-54.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-82.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-82.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

PEPG shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 54.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction54/100
Expected move54.4%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure100
Speculation12
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.

8 positive · 40 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move54.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-77.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+43.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-61.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses12
Recent vol12.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol28.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew18.8% / -10.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.76 USD-8.8%3.23 USD5.97 USD0.62-55.922.9MOff
24 Jul 20261.93 USD-14.2%3.41 USD6.00 USD0.49-51.373.7MOff
17 Jul 20262.25 USD-3.8%3.54 USD6.02 USD0.25-44.167.9MOff
10 Jul 20262.34 USD33.0%3.65 USD6.06 USD-0.19-44.198.8MOff
3 Jul 20261.76 USD3.5%3.76 USD6.09 USD-0.74-57.131.5MOff
26 Jun 20261.70 USD-5.0%3.88 USD6.14 USD-1.03-58.203.1MOff
19 Jun 20261.79 USD21.8%4.04 USD6.18 USD-1.25-57.923.6MOff
12 Jun 20261.47 USD4.3%4.16 USD6.24 USD-1.38-64.562.9MOff
5 Jun 20261.41 USD-6.0%4.27 USD6.30 USD-1.42-65.302.7MOff
29 May 20261.50 USD-0.7%4.38 USD6.37 USD-1.43-64.852.5MOff
22 May 20261.51 USD-2.6%4.48 USD6.47 USD-1.43-63.693.8MOff
15 May 20261.55 USD-11.9%4.59 USD6.56 USD-1.46-62.374.7MOff
8 May 20261.76 USD0.6%4.70 USD6.64 USD-1.47-57.524.9MOff
1 May 20261.75 USD13.6%4.80 USD6.72 USD-1.49-55.524.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.