JPX Equity Snapshot

6533 Weekly Equity Report

Orchestra Holdings Inc.

Latest Close 962.0 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.9% latest completed week
4W Return -8.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Orchestra Holdings Inc. engages in the digital transformation, digital marketing, and other businesses in Japan. The company provides programmatic advertising, website and app development, content marketing, SEO, and data analysis; venture capital services; and talent management cloud and technology services. It also develops and operates M&A matching platform and other matching platforms, as well as offers M&A advisory services; provides software testing services; recruitment agency services; develops web applications and automatic identification solutions for RFID and IC cards; and develops and operates contracted business for smartphone and consumer games and other digital content. The company …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

6533 closed the latest completed week at 962.0 JPY. The 4-week return is -8.6% and the 12-week return is -5.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.77. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 25/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -12.4%
Volume 0.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 26 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 26 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 39 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 33 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 24 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,098 JPY
Vs Trend Line
-12.4%
Fair Value
947.1 JPY
Vs Fair Value
1.6%
52W High
1,335 JPY
52W Low
665.1 JPY
Drawdown
-28.0%
Range Position
44.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.9%
4W -8.6%
12W -5.1%
26W -18.1%
52W 25.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
25
52W Active Breadth
48.1%
Sector Scope
JP Communication Services
Sector Rank
202 of 256
Sector Percentile
21.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.77
4W MD Change
28.6%
Relative Strength
-21.55
4W RS Change
-121.0%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
46.37%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
73.7K
13W Average
93.7K
52W Average
121.9K
Vs 13W
0.8x
Vs 52W
0.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.7%
52W Volatility
8.6%
Upside Weeks
23
Downside Weeks
29
Downside Breadth
55.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.7% / -3.2%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Advertising Agencies
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
9.5B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 962.0 JPY -4.9% 1,098 JPY 947.1 JPY -0.77 -21.55 73.7K Off
5 Jun 2026 1,012 JPY -0.8% 1,091 JPY 949.2 JPY -0.72 -18.65 63.4K Off
29 May 2026 1,020 JPY 3.3% 1,082 JPY 950.6 JPY -0.86 -18.14 287.8K Off
22 May 2026 987.0 JPY -6.3% 1,073 JPY 951.5 JPY -1.09 -17.51 95.5K Off
15 May 2026 1,053 JPY 4.1% 1,066 JPY 952.5 JPY -1.07 -9.75 40.7K Off
8 May 2026 1,012 JPY -0.8% 1,056 JPY 953.3 JPY -1.07 -15.35 13.1K Off
1 May 2026 1,020 JPY -1.6% 1,048 JPY 956.4 JPY -1.00 -10.58 28.4K Off
24 Apr 2026 1,037 JPY -4.0% 1,040 JPY 959.4 JPY -0.98 -9.71 37.4K On
17 Apr 2026 1,080 JPY 5.9% 1,031 JPY 962.3 JPY -0.94 -4.34 47.7K On
10 Apr 2026 1,020 JPY -1.4% 1,020 JPY 965.0 JPY -0.91 -7.47 59.7K On
3 Apr 2026 1,035 JPY -2.9% 1,011 JPY 968.9 JPY -0.90 0.33 62.8K On
27 Mar 2026 1,066 JPY 5.1% 1,002 JPY 972.5 JPY -0.77 2.72 134.3K On
20 Mar 2026 1,014 JPY -0.4% 991.2 JPY 976.3 JPY -0.75 -2.53 273.5K On
13 Mar 2026 1,018 JPY -4.0% 983.4 JPY 980.2 JPY -0.71 -3.12 105.4K On