GWR ASX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: GWR weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

GWR Group Limited · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 0.12 AUD

9.1% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.1%, after a 14.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100

Latest Close 0.12 AUD 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 9.1% latest completed week

4W Return 14.3% short-term follow-through

12W Return 4.3% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average

What is working

Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 9.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 14.3%. Indicator stack 41/48 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 53/100 5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.1%, after a 14.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

0.10 AUD 30.4% 0.17 AUD

Range location30.4%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance-5.6%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap21.1%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-31.4%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.3% over four weeks, 4.3% over 12 weeks, and 20.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.1%

4W14.3%

12W4.3%

26W-22.6%

52W20.0%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year39

Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure-0.37Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change58.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-0.70Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change94.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis

Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 52% Model confidence 15%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.

Value52/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.

Quality51/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.

Momentum52/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.

Growth53/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.

How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E: -
Price / sales: -
EV / EBITDA: -
Free-cash-flow yield: -35.6%

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin: -
Operating margin: -
Free-cash-flow margin: -
Return on invested capital: -

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth: -
EPS growth: -
Free-cash-flow growth: -
Piotroski F-score: 2/9

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield: -
Buyback yield: 0.0%
Shareholder yield: 0.0%
Net debt / EBITDA: 10.8x

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-31.4%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher7 of 2613 weeks finished lower.

Best week+14.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Worst week-11.8%Week of 12 Jun.

Latest week+9.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7

Modest gains0

Flat weeks6

Modest losses2

Sharp losses11

Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split20/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew7.9% / -7.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorAU Basic Materials

4-week rank- / 100

Group average-8.2%

Trend breadth18.0%

Trend18.0%active weekly trend signals

MD21.0%positive activity pressure

RS34.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

BNZ · ASX32.7%MLX · ASX18.4%TCG · ASX16.2%MEI · ASX15.6%NUF · ASX14.9%

IndustryAU Steel

4-week rank2 / 14

Group average-0.6%

Trend breadth14.3%

Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals

MD42.9%positive activity pressure

RS21.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

BCK · ASX20.0%GWR · ASX14.3%BIS · ASX11.9%FEX · ASX5.9%BSL · ASX4.5%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors51/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 34; Small Cap Core rank 53 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

GWR Group (ASX:GWR) Shares Rise Over 9%: What Drove the Mining Stock Higher? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	0.12 AUD	9.1%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.37	-0.70	1.9M	Off
24 Jul 2026	0.11 AUD	14.6%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.58	-6.61	5.5M	Off
17 Jul 2026	0.10 AUD	-4.0%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.91	-18.81	1.5M	Off
10 Jul 2026	0.10 AUD	-4.8%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.98	-15.78	325.7K	Off
3 Jul 2026	0.10 AUD	5.0%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.90	-11.96	2.3M	Off
26 Jun 2026	0.10 AUD	-4.8%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.09	-15.25	85.7K	Off
19 Jun 2026	0.10 AUD	8.2%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.16	-11.57	488.8K	Off
12 Jun 2026	0.10 AUD	-11.8%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.23	-17.94	2.6M	Off
5 Jun 2026	0.11 AUD	4.8%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.32	-4.96	958.1K	Off
29 May 2026	0.10 AUD	0.0%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.35	-10.13	5.3K	Off
22 May 2026	0.10 AUD	-4.5%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.25	-9.26	305.9K	Off
15 May 2026	0.11 AUD	-4.3%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.16	-4.58	1.0M	Off
8 May 2026	0.12 AUD	-4.2%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-1.06	-1.43	621.4K	Off
1 May 2026	0.12 AUD	-11.1%	0.13 AUD	0.10 AUD	-0.94	2.91	2.2M	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.