FBNC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

First Bancorp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 62.74 USD
-2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a -0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 30/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 62.74 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.6% latest completed week
4W Return -0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 54-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.9%. Indicator stack 100/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 30/100 conviction; expected move 5.8%. News sentiment 55/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 84d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a -0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9112-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.9% over four weeks, 9.0% over 12 weeks, and 26.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 54 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.6%
4W-0.9%
12W9.0%
26W9.1%
52W26.8%
Active trend streak54 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change19.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change90.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality70/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth19/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
50.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
63.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
48.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-21.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
37.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

FBNC shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction30/100
Expected move5.8%
Put/call volume
Pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility39
Trend agreement81
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

17 positive · 36 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-2.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis65/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.91; 2 reversal markers Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 69; Small Cap Core rank 81 SVQF37/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 454.5 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

FBNC shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.8% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

First Bancorp (North Carolina) (FBNC) Institutional Confidence Insiders16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings84d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202662.74 USD-2.6%58.54 USD42.73 USD1.184.011.4MOn
17 Jul 202664.43 USD1.1%58.17 USD42.54 USD1.385.201.7MOn
10 Jul 202663.72 USD-0.1%57.75 USD42.33 USD1.33-0.10822.4KOn
3 Jul 202663.80 USD0.8%57.39 USD42.11 USD1.291.931.5MOn
26 Jun 202663.29 USD4.6%56.94 USD41.88 USD0.992.112.0MOn
19 Jun 202660.53 USD-1.7%56.52 USD41.66 USD0.45-6.521.4MOn
12 Jun 202661.55 USD4.2%56.17 USD41.45 USD0.00-2.28961.3KOn
5 Jun 202659.05 USD0.7%55.80 USD41.26 USD-0.26-3.89994.6KOn
29 May 202658.61 USD0.3%55.52 USD41.08 USD-0.45-8.77893.1KOn
22 May 202658.43 USD2.2%55.17 USD40.90 USD-0.45-6.40801.1KOn
15 May 202657.16 USD-2.5%54.84 USD40.71 USD-0.38-7.291.3MOn
8 May 202658.64 USD1.9%54.51 USD40.53 USD-0.40-5.18823.3KOn
1 May 202657.57 USD-1.3%54.18 USD40.32 USD-0.36-1.82949.7KOn
24 Apr 202658.33 USD-2.0%53.99 USD40.12 USD-0.351.011.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.