GECC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Great Elm Capital Corp · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 5.22 USD
-2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 5.22 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.2% latest completed week
4W Return -5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.01% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.6%. Indicator stack 11/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.01% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -5.6% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.6% over four weeks, 1.8% over 12 weeks, and -40.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.2%
4W-5.6%
12W1.8%
26W-15.5%
52W-40.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change9.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength59/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality52/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth54/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
234.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-434.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
59.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
24.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-37.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-12.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

7 positive · 26 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape27/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.01%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.01% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 95; Small Cap Core rank 52 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

Acadian Asset Management (NYSE:AAMI) Reaches New 52-Week High After Earnings Beat Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20265.22 USD-2.2%5.40 USD6.89 USD0.32-24.46198.7KOff
17 Jul 20265.34 USD1.7%5.42 USD6.89 USD0.55-25.08222.2KOff
10 Jul 20265.25 USD-1.1%5.44 USD6.88 USD0.73-30.46226.5KOff
3 Jul 20265.31 USD-4.0%5.48 USD6.88 USD0.95-29.51373.8KOff
26 Jun 20265.53 USD1.1%5.52 USD6.87 USD1.09-27.06396.8KOff
19 Jun 20265.47 USD-3.7%5.54 USD6.87 USD1.14-32.06530.3KOff
12 Jun 20265.68 USD0.8%5.57 USD6.86 USD1.10-28.62639.6KOff
5 Jun 20265.64 USD0.0%5.59 USD6.86 USD1.12-28.61642.1KOff
29 May 20265.64 USD7.2%5.62 USD6.85 USD1.09-32.71469.1KOff
22 May 20265.26 USD-7.9%5.64 USD6.84 USD0.79-36.30526.5KOff
15 May 20265.71 USD2.0%5.68 USD6.84 USD0.50-31.00570.7KOff
8 May 20265.60 USD9.2%5.69 USD6.83 USD0.00-33.39492.7KOff
1 May 20265.13 USD0.2%5.72 USD6.82 USD-0.55-36.60135.6KOff
24 Apr 20265.12 USD3.7%5.79 USD6.82 USD-0.77-36.59276.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.