VLE TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Valeura Energy Inc. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Latest close 12.52 CAD
0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 15.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 12.52 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return 15.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 15.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.61

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.5% over four weeks, -0.1% over 12 weeks, and 37.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%
4W15.5%
12W-0.1%
26W24.0%
52W37.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change59.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change912.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength27/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework6/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
90.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
43.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-12.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-90.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-38.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

11 positive · 27 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-12.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.52 CAD0.4%11.74 CAD6.80 CAD-0.4616.212.1MOff
24 Jul 202612.47 CAD6.1%11.59 CAD6.73 CAD-0.7415.412.2MOff
17 Jul 202611.75 CAD9.2%11.45 CAD6.67 CAD-1.049.301.6MOff
10 Jul 202610.76 CAD-0.7%11.33 CAD6.61 CAD-1.140.442.9MOff
3 Jul 202610.84 CAD6.7%11.24 CAD6.55 CAD-1.131.601.7MOff
26 Jun 202610.16 CAD-9.0%11.14 CAD6.49 CAD-1.11-3.78199.2KOff
19 Jun 202611.16 CAD-4.4%11.05 CAD6.44 CAD-0.945.8595.8KOn
12 Jun 202611.67 CAD4.6%10.92 CAD6.38 CAD-0.8310.94258.8KOn
5 Jun 202611.16 CAD3.1%10.77 CAD6.32 CAD-0.657.95467.3KOn
29 May 202610.82 CAD-11.5%10.60 CAD6.26 CAD-0.483.865.5MOn
22 May 202612.22 CAD-9.8%10.46 CAD6.20 CAD-0.3518.761.9MOn
15 May 202613.55 CAD8.1%10.28 CAD6.14 CAD-0.1034.742.6MOn
8 May 202612.53 CAD-4.6%10.04 CAD6.06 CAD0.0724.642.6MOn
1 May 202613.13 CAD6.9%9.85 CAD6.00 CAD0.4931.882.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.